NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2021

NRF forecasts that retail sales during 2021 will increase between 6.5 percent and 8.2 percent to more than $4.33 trillion in 2021 as more individuals get vaccinated and the economy reopens.

 

More economic and consumer research from NRF

Monthly Economic Review: February 2021
 
Consumer behavior and spending will be shaped by current events in the months ahead.
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2020 Holiday Season: One for the Record Books
 
Record holiday season retail sales in 2020 reflected the recovering economy but also got a boost from consumer emotions.
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Retail Holiday and Seasonal Trends
 
Consumer spending data for retail holidays throughout the year.
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