NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2019

NRF forecasts retail sales during 2019 will increase between 3.8 percent and 4.4 percent to more than $3.8 trillion despite threats from an ongoing trade war, the volatile stock market and the effects of the government shutdown.

 
A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.

 

Latest news

 
default image
August retail sales grew but new tariffs present 'downside risk'
Retail sales were up 0.4 percent in August from July and up 4.6 percent year-over-year, according to NRF.
 
default image
Retailers Respond to Tariff Escalation: ‘Where Does This End?’
Tariffs are taxes on American businesses and consumers.
Read more
 
default image
July retail sales show strong gains
Retail sales were up 0.9 percent in July from June and up 5.6 percent year-over-year.
Read more