Economy

NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2019

NRF forecasts retail sales during 2019 will increase between 3.8 percent and 4.4 percent to more than $3.8 trillion despite threats from an ongoing trade war, the volatile stock market and the effects of the government shutdown.

 
See forecast
A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Winter Holidays
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.

 
See holiday forecast

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Port Tracker
Retail imports drop to annual low with retailers between seasons and tariff hike on hold
Retail imports are expected to drop to their lowest level in almost a year this month.
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Retail employment dipped in February despite long-term gains
Retail industry employment in February was down 6,100 jobs from January and 5,300 jobs year-over-year.
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