NRF Forecasts

A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.

 
Two people talk over a laptop
 
Upgraded 2018 economic forecast

NRF now expects 2018 retail sales to increase at a minimum of 4.5 percent over 2017 rather than the 3.8 to 4.4 percent range forecast earlier this year.

 
Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2018

NRF forecasts retail sales will increase between 3.8 and 4.4 percent in 2018. Online and other non-store sales, which are included in the overall number, are expected to increase between 10 and 12 percent.

 

Latest news

 
default image
Monthly imports reach 2 million containers for first time as retailers continue rush to beat tariffs
A new record for imports was reached before Presidet Trump put an upcoming tariff increase on hold.
 
a woman and a man are talking during an interview
Retail jobs grew 18,600 in November, accounted for 12 percent of nationwide job growth
Retail employment in November grew by 18,600 jobs from October
Read more
 
aerial view of a port tracker
NRF welcomes delay of January 2019 tariff increase
NRF welcomes 90-day tariff pause.
Read more