NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2019

NRF forecasts retail sales during 2019 will increase between 3.8 percent and 4.4 percent to more than $3.8 trillion despite threats from an ongoing trade war, the volatile stock market and the effects of the government shutdown.

 
A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.

 

Latest news

 
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Slower tax refunds and weather affect April retail sales but fundamentals 'remain positive'
Retail sales were down 0.2 percent in April from March but up 5.2 percent year-over-year.
 
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Latest tariff list is ‘far too great a gamble for the U.S. economy,’ says NRF
Retailers respond to administration's plans to raise tariffs on everything U.S. imports from China
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a family is shown in the kitchen after grocery shopping
Who pays for tariffs? American businesses and consumers
Tariffs are a tax paid by American companies and consumers — not by the foreign governments targeted by the tariffs.
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