Winter Holidays Data and Trends

The latest insights on consumer spending for the holiday season

NRF’s holiday surveys gauge consumer sentiment and shopping trends during the holiday season, including Thanksgiving, Black Friday, Small Business Saturday, Cyber Monday, Super Saturday and Christmas. Check out NRF's Winter holidays FAQs and our Winter Holidays historical highlights for more information on the latest holiday season and years past. Check back often to stay up to date on retail's busiest season.

2025 winter holiday spending highlights

  • 91% of consumers plan to celebrate the winter holidays

  • Consumers are budgeting an average $890 for gifts and other seasonal items

  • Black Friday remains the top shopping day for both in-store and online, with 80.3 million in-store shoppers and 85.7 million online

  • Cyber Monday continues to be the second most popular day for online shopping, attracting 75.9 million online shoppers

  • Top shopping destinations during Thanksgiving weekend were supermarkets (47%), online (45%), department stores (40%), clothing stores (37%) and discount stores (30%)

  • Top toys include Legos, Barbie, Hot Wheels and a doll

View more data in the slides below.

Thanksgiving holiday weekend draws a record 203 million shoppers

A record 202.9 million consumers shopped during the five-day holiday weekend from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday.

NRF expects holiday sales to surpass $1 trillion

NRF predicts retail sales in November and December will grow between 3.7% to 4.2% over 2024.

Dive into the data

Thanksgiving Holiday Weekend Draws a Record 203 Million Shoppers
Top toys for holiday 2025
Thanksgiving Weekend Expected to Draw Largest Number of Shoppers on Record
Secondhand gifting rises in popularity as consumers consider higher prices this holiday season
NRF 2025 Winter Holiday Consumer Outlook
Consumers to Spend Second-Highest Amount on Record, According to NRF Holiday Survey

Stay tuned throughout the holiday season

From the hottest toys to the turnout for Thanksgiving Weekend — NRF publishes research updates throughout the holiday season on how consumers plan to celebrate the holidays.

Key dates coming up

  • Dec. 15: NRF will release consumer shopping expectations for Super Saturday, the last Saturday before Christmas.  

 

Additional media resources


Winter holiday consumer spending survey video Q&A 
NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen discusses NRF’s 2025 winter holiday consumer spending survey.



Holiday sales forecast call recording
Download and listen to a recording of NRF’s 2025 holiday sales forecast call from Nov. 6.



NRF 2025 holiday sales forecast video Q&A

NRF Chief Economist and Executive Director of Research Mark Mathews discusses NRF's 2025 holiday sales forecast.



2025 Thanksgiving Weekend Shopping Results Call Recording

Download and listen to a recording of NRF’s 2025 Thanksgiving weekend shopping results call from Dec. 2.

 

Historical highlights


2024


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2023


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2022


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